WINTER UPDATE: 16 November 2012

There is plenty of divergence in today’s GEFS (computer forecasting model) ensembles in relation to our weather at the end of the month. Overall, the trend is for temperatures to be below average up to the end of the month and during the early days of December.

It is likely to remain unsettled for the next 7-10 days at least with the wind being a major factor in our weather, particularly next week (see our long range forecast for more). 
There are no clear signs at this point, that our weather will turn significantly colder during the next two weeks as has been reported widely elsewhere. However, we are keeping a close eye on the progression of a blocking high feature possibly developing across northern Europe, which if it transpires will have a bearing on our weather.