Long range weather models indicate at least a temporary reprieve to the unsettled spell of weather affecting Ireland and the UK in recent weeks.
Models have been consistent in recent days regarding a rise in pressure leading to a much quieter, frosty period of weather during the final third of the month.
Day time highs in the final week of November during this period will remain below normal, averaging in Ireland between 4-8C, while locally severe ground and air night frosts accompanied by fog are likely. Precipitation levels during the period also will be below average for the time of year.
High pressure blocking systems over Scandinavia and another located between Greenland and Iceland will result in a colder pool of air from the Continent drifting westwards over the British Isles.
Models indicate that this blocking system could remain in place and keep Atlantic systems at bay until at least the end of the month.
The animated chart highlights how the rise in high pressure to the North and Northeast will gradually extend its influence over our weather later next week.
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| GFS Model |
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| ECM Model |
***Further updates regarding the potential for this colder, more settled period of weather will be issued on the website in the coming days.***